Instrumental variable (IV) analyses generally start by posing a structural equation: Y = hstructural(X)+ϵ, (1) where hstructural represents the causal effect of X on Y, and X and ϵ may be endogenous (E[ϵ | X] = 0). Then given an exogenous instrument Z satisfying the exclusion restriction, the common statistical solution given joint observations of W = (X,Y,Z) P is to conduct inference on some continuous linear functional h 7 EP[m(W;h)] of a solution h H to the linear equation implied by exclusion: TPh = rP, (2) where TP: H G maps h 7 argming GEP(h(X) g(Z))2, rP = argminr GEP(Y r(Z))2, and H, G are closed linear subspaces of square-integrable functions of X and of Z, respectively. For example, if these are all square-integrable functions, then (TPh)(Z) = EP[h(X) | Z] is the conditional expectation.

We present a covariance-aware sampler that improves the quality of pixel-space Diffusion Model (DM) sampling in the few-step regime. We hypothesize that in the few-step regime samplers fail because they rely solely on the predicted mean of the reverse distribution, while our solution explicitly models the reverse-process covariance. Our method combines Tweedie's formula to estimate the covariance with an efficient, structured Fourier-space decomposition of the covariance matrix. Implemented as an extension of DDIM, our method requires only a minimal overhead: one extra Jacobian-Vector Product (JVP) per step. We demonstrate that for pixel-based DMs, our method consistently produces superior samples compared to state-of-the-art second order samplers (Heun, DPM-Solver++) and the recent aDDIM sampler, at an identical number of function evaluations (NFE).

While deep learning has revolutionised inverse problems, its safe deployment is hindered by three primary reliability concerns: hallucinations, instabilities, and performance volatility [48]. Hallucinations manifest as high-fidelity features that are factually false; instabilities reflect heightened sensitivity to measurement noise; and performance volatility refers to significant fluctuations in reconstruction quality across the data, yielding high-fidelity results for some samples while failing on seemingly similar images. In many applications, the risk of generating realistic but unfaithful content can impede the safe deployment of AI methods for inverse problems. The choice of "hallucinate" as the Cambridge Dictionary's word of the year in 2023 illustrates this open problem [53]. The problem of AI hallucinations persists, as the Financial Times [44] highlighted that, "AI hallucinations haunt users more than job losses." A first step toward training AI methods that do not suffer from hallucinations is the assessment and identification of hallucinated outputs. Consider the inverse problem of recovering xfrom noisy measurements y " Fpx,eq, x PM1 ĂX, e PEĂY, (1.1)

Vision-Language Latent Diffusion Models (LDMs) (Rombach et al., 2022) provide powerful generative priors for inverse problems. However, existing LDM-based inverse solvers typically require a large number of neural function evaluations (NFEs) and backpropagation through large pretrained components, leading to substantial computational costs and, in some cases, degraded reconstruction quality. We propose a unified Euclidean-Wasserstein-2 gradient-flow framework that jointly performs posterior sampling and prompt optimization in the latent space through a single flow that aligns the prior and posterior with the observed data. Combined with few-step latent text-to-image models, this formulation enables low-NFE inference without backpropagation through autoencoders. Experiments across several canonical imaging inverse problems show that our method achieves state-of-the-art performance with significantly reduced computational cost.

Commercial Microwave Links (CMLs) offer dense spatial coverage for rainfall sensing but produce path-integrated measurements that make accurate ground-level reconstruction challenging. Existing methods typically oversimplify CMLs as point sensors and neglect line integration relating rainfall to signal attenuation, resulting in degraded performance under heterogeneous precipitation. In this work, we view rain field reconstruction as a Bayesian inverse problem with Diffusion Models (DMs) as high-fidelity spatial priors. We show that diffusion models better preserve key rainfall statistics compared to censored Gaussian processes. Framing rainfall estimation as a Bayesian inverse problem with a DM prior enables training-free posterior sampling using a broad family of methods, including Plug-and-Play, Sequential Monte Carlo, and Replica Exchange methods. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate consistent improvements over established CML-based reconstruction baselines.

Training-free conditional diffusion provides a flexible alternative to task-specific conditional model training, but existing samplers often allocate computation inefficiently: independent guided trajectories can vary widely in quality, and additional function evaluations along a single trajectory may not recover from poor early decisions. We propose Tempered Guided Diffusion (TGD), an annealed sequential Monte Carlo framework for training-free conditional sampling with diffusion priors. TGD targets tempered posterior distributions over the clean signal, using noisy diffusion states only as auxiliary variables for proposing reconstructions and propagating particles. Particles are reweighted by incremental likelihood ratios, resampled, and propagated across noise levels, concentrating computation on trajectories plausible under both the prior and observation. Under idealized exact-reconstruction assumptions, full TGD yields a consistent particle approximation to the posterior as the number of particles grows. For expensive reconstruction tasks, Accelerated TGD (A-TGD) retains early particle exploration but prunes to a single high-likelihood trajectory partway through sampling. Experiments on a controlled two-dimensional inverse problem and image inverse problems show improved posterior approximation and favorable wall-clock speed-quality tradeoffs over independent multi-trajectory baselines.

The plug-and-play priors (PnP) and regularization by denoising (RED) methods have become widely used for solving inverse problems by leveraging pre-trained deep denoisers as image priors. While the empirical imaging performance and the theoretical convergence properties of these algorithms have been widely investigated, their recovery properties have not previously been theoretically analyzed. We address this gap by showing how to establish theoretical recovery guarantees for PnP/RED by assuming that the solution of these methods lies near the fixedpoints of a deep neural network. We also present numerical results comparing the recovery performance of PnP/RED in compressive sensing against that of recent compressive sensing algorithms based on generative models. Our numerical results suggest that PnP with a pre-trained artifact removal network provides significantly better results compared to the existing state-of-the-art methods.

Although the performance over time is the main performance that we want to benchmark, as pointed out by [3] the posterior matching is another metric to measure how good the inverse models are. Below we show the posterior matching score using Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) as a measurement of how close the inferred posterior density is comparing with the ground truth (rejection sampled) distribution. Note that for a real-life problem (D4: meta-material) with higher dimensionality, the rejection sampling becomes intractable. The 3 MMD kernel used was 0.05, 0.2 and 0.9. The code is also available on the repository.